Rainfall, Temperature Forecast 01 – 08 August 2023 

Total rainfall Heavy rainfall (greater than 200mm) is expected over isolated parts in western Ethiopia, southern and western Sudan.

Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) is expected over southern Sudan, much of South Sudan, western Eritrea, central to northern Ethiopia, northern Uganda, and isolated areas in western Kenya.

Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) is expected over central to northern Sudan, south-eastern South Sudan, parts of central to eastern Ethiopia, parts of coastal Eritrea, northern and southern Somalia, Djibouti, eastern and southern Tanzania, coastal and western Kenya, and central to south-western Uganda.

Dry conditions are expected over central Somalia, southern Ethiopia, much of Kenya, Burundi, Rwanda, and most parts of Tanzania. Note: 1 mm of rainfall is equivalent to 1 liter of water per square meter.  

Rainfall Anomalies Wetter than usual conditions are expected over western, central, and northern parts of Ethiopia, western Eritrea, central and isolated areas in southern South Sudan, western, southern, and isolated areas in northern Sudan, and northern Uganda.

Drier than usual conditions are expected over much of southern Sudan, north-western South Sudan, isolated areas in western and central Ethiopia, and central Uganda.

Exceptional rainfall

Extremely heavy rainfall is expected in isolated areas in western Sudan.

Heavy to very heavy rainfall is expected in much of central to northern Ethiopia, western Eritrea, much of southern Sudan, central and isolated areas in northern and southern South Sudan, and isolated areas in northern Uganda.

Temperature 01 – 08 August 2023

Mean TemperatureHot temperatures (above 32 ℃) are expected over central to northern Sudan, the Afar region in Ethiopia, Djibouti, coastal regions of Eritrea, and north-western coastal parts of Somalia.

Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) are expected over South Sudan, central to southern Sudan, eastern and northern Kenya, north-western and eastern Tanzania, Somalia, south-eastern Ethiopia, and much of Uganda.

Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) are expected over central Ethiopia, isolated areas in southern Uganda, Rwanda, and Burundi, parts of southern, western, central to northern Tanzania, and central to southwestern Kenya.

Temperature anomaliesWarmer than usual temperatures are predicted over most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA).

Cooler than usual temperatures are expected in isolated areas in northern Somalia, central Ethiopia, and central Kenya.

The rainfall and temperature forecasts are developed by ICPAC which is accredited by the World Meteorological Organization that provides Climate Services to 11 East African Countries. offering mainly services of creating resilience in a region deeply affected by climate change and extreme weather.

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