Rainfall, Temperature Forecast 05 – 12 Sept 2023

More than usual rainfall is expected in Uganda, South Sudan, southern Sudan, and western Ethiopia, with warmer than usual temperatures across the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) as predicted by the ICPAC prediction center.

Total rainfall
Heavy rainfall (above 200mm) is expected over a few places in western Ethiopia.
Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) is expected over southern Sudan, western Ethiopia, western Kenya, and most parts of South Sudan and Somalia.
Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) is expected in central Sudan, western Eritrea, eastern Ethiopia, northern and southern Somalia, coastal regions of Kenya and Somalia, northern Tanzania, and parts of western Kenya.
Dry conditions are expected over northern Sudan, coastal Eritrea, Djibouti, central Somalia, south-eastern Ethiopia, eastern and northern Kenya, southern Burundi, and western and southern Tanzania.
Note: 1 mm of rainfall is equivalent to 1 liter of water per square meter.

Rainfall Anomalies 

  • Wetter than usual conditions are expected over Rwanda, Uganda, western Kenya, South Sudan, western Ethiopia, and southern Sudan
  • Drier than usual conditions are expected over a few isolated regions in Sudan, South Sudan, and Ethiopia.

Exceptional rain

  • Heavy to very heavy rainfall is expected in southern Sudan, central South Sudan, western Eritrea, and central to western Uganda.

Temperature 05 – 12 September 2023

Mean Temperature

  • Hot temperatures (above 32 ℃) are expected over northern Sudan, coastal regions of Eritrea and northern Somalia, the Afar region in Ethiopia, and parts of Djibouti.
  • Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) are expected over southern parts of Sudan, South Sudan, Uganda, Somalia, eastern parts of Rwanda and Burundi, eastern and northern Kenya, and most parts of Tanzania.
  • Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) are expected over central to southern Ethiopia, western Kenya, and central parts of Tanzania.

Temperature anomalies

  • Warmer than usual temperatures are predicted over most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA).

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