Rainfall, Temperature Forecast for Nov-Jan 2024

High chances of wetter than usual conditions are indicated over equatorial and southern parts of the region from November 2023 to January 2024 as rainfall is highly anticipated. The region is also expected to be warmer than usual.  

Wetter than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region, with the highest probabilities over parts of southern Somalia.

rainfall

Temperature Forecast for November 2023

  • Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
  • Average to cooler than usual conditions are expected over eastern Kenya, extending to adjacent areas of Somalia and Ethiopia.

Seasonal Rainfall Forecast for November 2023 to January 2024

  • Wetter than usual conditions are expected over the equatorial and southern parts of the region, with the highest probabilities over part of eastern Kenya and southern Somalia.

Seasonal Temperature Forecast for November 2023 to January 2024

  • Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over most parts of the region.
  • Cooler than usual conditions are expected over eastern Kenya, extending to southern areas of Somalia.

ICPAC provides regional updates on a regular basis while the National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) provide detailed national and sub-national updates.

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