Heavy Rainfall and Warmer Temps Forecasted in Eastern Africa

  • Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) is expected over most parts of Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, central to western and northern Kenya, southern Ethiopia, southern Somalia, and north-eastern and southern Uganda.
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) is expected over parts of central and southern Ethiopia, northern Somalia, north-western Kenya, western Uganda, southern South Sudan, and coastal regions of the Red Sea.  

Note: 1 mm of rainfall is equivalent to 1 liter of water per square meter.  

Rainfall Anomalies 

  • More than usual rainfall is expected in most parts of Uganda, Kenya, Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, and southern Ethiopia. 
  • Less than usual rainfall is expected over a few regions in northern and western Tanzania. 
rainfall

Exceptional Rainfall 

  • Rainfall amounts exceeding the top 5% on record are expected over central to northern Kenya, central Rwanda, eastern Burundi, and parts of north-eastern and southern Tanzania.
  • Rainfall amounts exceeding the top 10% on record are expected over most parts of Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania. 
rainfall

Flood

  • The expected very heavy downfall is likely to lead to isolated flood incidences over a few places, in parts of Rwanda, Burundi, and parts of southern, central to northern Kenya and central to southern Tanzania.
  • Communities in high-risk areas are advised to exercise caution during this period.

Temperature 27 November – 04 December 2024 

  • Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) are expected over most parts of South Sudan, Uganda, Tanzania, Kenya, Somalia, Djibouti, Eritrea, and southern and eastern regions of Sudan. 
  • Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) are expected over parts of north-western Sudan, central to southern Ethiopia, central to western Kenya, and most parts of Rwanda and Burundi. 

Temperature anomalies

  • Warmer-than-usual temperatures are expected over most parts of Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, Rwanda, Burundi, Tanzania, central and northern Somalia, central to western Kenya, and southern Uganda. 
  • Cooler than usual temperatures are expected over most parts of Sudan, South Sudan, and parts of eastern kenya and northern Uganda.

Heat stress

  • Cautionary heat stress levels are expected in eastern Kenya, coastal and southern Tanzania, and southern Somalia. 

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