The anticipated El Niño arrives just two years after the powerful 2023–2024 event, which contributed to record global climate extremes.
WMO says the forecasts are designed to support regional climate centres and national meteorological agencies in improving preparedness
Enhanced rainfall is expected in parts of East Africa for next two weeks, amid continued climate variability across Greater Horn of Africa
Greater Horn of Africa is set to experience below-normal rainfall and warmer-than-average temperatures during the June to September 2026
Alongside the enhanced rainfall, temperatures are expected to remain moderately high across most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa.
Alongside the enhanced rainfall, temperatures are expected to remain moderately high across most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa.
This uneven distribution reflects a fragmented yet enhanced rainfall system, where wet and dry conditions coexist across neighboring regions.
KMD has cautioned that flooding may not be limited to areas receiving heavy rainfall, as downstream regions could be affected by runoff
Alongside shifting rainfall patterns, temperatures are expected to remain elevated across much of the Greater Horn of Africa.
Most areas across the Greater Horn of Africa will experience moderate to high temperatures ranging between 20–32°C