- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) is expected over most parts of Burundi, Tanzania, and southern Kenya.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) is expected in southern Uganda, Rwanda, central and coastal Kenya, and coastal regions of Sudan, Eritrea, and Djibouti.
- Dry conditions are expected over Sudan, South Sudan, central to northern Uganda, north-western and north-eastern Kenya, and western and eastern Ethiopia, as well as Somalia.
Note: 1 mm of rainfall is equivalent to 1 liter of water per square meter.
Rainfall Rainfall Anomalies
- Wetter than usual conditions are expected in central to northern Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, and central to southern Kenya as rainfall continuous.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected in western and southern Tanzania.
Exceptional Rainfall
- Heavy to very heavy rainfall (90th to 95th percentiles) is expected over parts of central to north-eastern Tanzania into southern Kenya.
Floods update
- High-risk flash floods and flooding are anticipated in parts of central to northeastern Tanzania and southern Kenya. The moderate to very heavy rainfall is likely to worsen the flooding situation experienced over the flood-prone areas in these regions.
Temperature 23 – 30 January 2024
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) are expected over South Sudan, Uganda, Eritrea, Djibouti, central to southern Somalia, Tanzania, and eastern and northern Kenya.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) are expected over parts of central to western Kenya, western Rwanda, Burundi, central Ethiopia, northern Somalia, and most parts of Sudan.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures are predicted over Eritrea, Djibouti, Ethiopia, South Sudan, Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- Cooler than average temperatures in most parts of Sudan and northern South Sudan.
Heat stress
- Elevated levels of heat stress are expected in eastern Tanzania, eastern and coastal Kenya, southern Somalia, and eastern regions of South Sudan.
The forecast data is generated and distributed by ICPAC a Climate Center accredited by the World Meteorological Organization that provides Climate Services to 11 East African Countries. Its main services aim at creating resilience in a region deeply affected by climate change and extreme weather.
