The intense rainfall in some areas dangerous heat in others reflects the complex, often contrasting climate shaping the Greater Horn of Africa
The Greater Horn of Africa is set to experience a mixed weather pattern between March 24 and March 31, 2026, with enhanced rainfall & heat
Enhanced rainfall is expected across large parts of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) from March 17 hence concern over flooding in East Africa
President William Ruto assents to the Kenya Meteorology Bill, 2023, paving way for the creation of the Kenya Meteorological Service Authority
Several countries across the Greater Horn of Africa are expected to experience moderate rainfall between March 11 and March 18, 2026,
Forecasters are also warning of exceptionally heavy rainfall, with precipitation totals exceeding the 90th percentile expected across
Forecasts from WMO Global Producing Centres indicate a 60 percent chance of ENSO-neutral conditions, meaning neither El Niño nor La Niña
Over the full March–May period, warmer-than-usual conditions are expected across most of the region, with only a few localised areas
Alongside the rainfall outlook for Eastern Africa, moderate to high temperatures ranging from 20°C to 32°C are expected across the region
A central theme of Sub-COF5 was the co-production of climate services, ensuring that forecasts are shaped by and communicated to end users