The forecast aims to enhance early awareness and preparedness in the IGAD area, where above-normal temperatures may heighten health risks
In contrast, light rainfall in the Greater Horn of Africa is set to be less than 50 millimetres, signalling continued dry conditions
Based on the outlook, there is a 45% probability of wetter-than-normal rainfall conditions over much of the Greater Horn of Africa(GHA)
The mean temperature outlook for 20–27 January 2026 shows widespread heat across the Greater Horn of Africa(GHA).
The ICPAC forecasts a predominantly hot and dry period across the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) between 07 and 14 January 2026
The Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) is set to experience above-average rainfall across several countries alongside warm conditions
The forecast further reveals how North-eastern Kenya stands out, pointing to exceptional rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile
Most western and northern parts of the Greater Horn of Africa are expected to experience warmer-than-usual temperatures
The Greater Horn of Africa is heading into a week defined by contrast rather than coherence, as the weather divides sharply
The consistent heavy rain creates a significant flooding risk, especially considering that the intensity and frequency of the rainfall